Leading Indicator Program

This service is aimed at identifying what leading indicators are affecting your market performance. The AEM Market Intelligence Leading Indicator service allows members to upload their companies’ figures, chart their data against any of the 400 indicators AEM hand-selected and calculate their lead and lag.

The program is provided through AEM’s partner, ITR, a premier American economic research firm with 6 decades of experience and sporting a 94.7% accuracy rate. Through this partnership we hope to continue to aid our members by creating a clearer view of where their business fits within their specific markets and the overall economy.

Values provided:

  • Understand events impacting your company through richer data inputs
  • Increase your internal forecasting accuracy
  • Enrich your marketing initiatives
  • Benchmark your success metrics against the market

More information and training support can be found at:

To participate in the Leading Indicator Program or if you have questions, please contact bduyck@aem.org.


Forecast Center

AEM has selected ITR as a vetted partner to help members forecast their sales or revenues. After you get a first taste of identifying what indicators affect your business in the Leading Indicator Program, you can work with ITR to develop a full forecast. Members receive a $1,000 discount through AEM. For more information on the offering, please sign up.

The ITR Economics’ Executive Vantage Point™ consulting programs are designed to optimize your strategic decision-making. Using ITR’s proven methodology and insights from expert economists, you can pinpoint industry and market trends and their impacts to your business. From there, implement our proven Management Objectives™ to best leverage whatever phase of the business cycle your company is experiencing.

With EVP Flex™, you receive a 12-quarter forecast of your chosen data, insights from five to seven leading indicators specific to your business, three-year projections for over 40 US markets, and valuable consultations with economists throughout the year. Upgrade to the EVP 360™ program for a 12-quarter weighted Market Index in addition to the above values.

Both programs are highly customizable to fit your company’s needs. They will position you to make the most proactive and timely business decisions.

Key Product Features:

  • 12- to 18-month outlook of company’s next cyclical turning points and a 3-year company revenue forecast
  • Data and charts of company’s current position in the market
  • Identifies company’s top 5-7 macro and micro leading indicators
  • Each delivery includes webinar with ITR
  • Monthly ITR Trends Report™ subscription for in-depth market analysis & forecasts
  • Year-round access or an onsite visit from an economist

Program Overview   EVP 360 Sample   EVP Flex Sample


Industry Data Reports

AEM US Machinery Outlook Reports

Oxford Economics and AEM teamed up to develop two new quarterly reports that act as an introduction to our industries and identify the drivers and major events that impact the industry. 

From the reports, members are able to identify indicator relationships to create custom forecasts and enable their organizations to assess the evolution of the US markets, tie it to trends in key industry segments that drive it and understand how that connects to the broader economy. 

The reports include:

  • Macro-economic drivers
  • Industry forecasts for the US and Globally
  • Market evolution
  • Global events/scenarios impacting the industry.

Oxford Economics is a global leader in economic forecasting and quantitative analysis with over four decades conducting evidence-based research.  Members only.

AG Machinery Report CE Machinery Report

Global Markets Reports

A quarterly report that consolidates data from the U.S. Department of Commerce, and other sources, outlining equipment exports to major regions of the world.  Members only.

Or request a custom import/export report. View a past report or request the most recent country-specific report by contacting Benjamin Duyck.

Agriculture Report Construction Report

Agrievolution: Tractor Market Report & Agrievolution Ag Indexes

The Tractor Market Report provides our community with statistics on monthly and yearly units of tractors sold worldwide with in-depth observations by the Agrievolution Economic Committee.

The Agrievolution Ag Indexes provide AEM members with 10 regional and 18 country specific indexes that track the following for product groups: forage harvesters, balers, combines and tractors.

Learn More

ITR Economic Insights

Through a partnership with ITR, AEM now offers members a quarterly macro-economic insight that includes:

  • U.S. market specific updates
  • U.S. State Opportunity Index
  • Snap shot of U.S. macroeconomic indicators
  • Federal Reserve overview

ITR is a premier American economic research firm with six decades of experience and sporting a 94.7% accuracy rate! Through this partnership we hope to continue to aid our members by creating a clearer view of where their business fits within their specific markets and the overall economy.  Members only.

ITR Economic Insights

Third Party Reports

  • Construction Equipment Index. A weighted index tracking a grouping of publicly traded CE AEM member companies and comparing their stock price performance against the S&P 500 average. Provided by ARTBA.  Members only.
  • The IronMonthly Index. This index measures, for 1 to 5-year old equipment, the trends in used agricultural equipment values against the trends in the average age of used equipment sold within 3 major categories. Provided by Iron Solutions, Inc.  Members only.
  • Producer Price Index (PPI). A family of indexes that measures the average change over time in selling prices received by domestic producers of goods and services. PPIs measure price change from the perspective of the seller. This contrasts with other measures, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI), that measure price change from the purchaser's perspective. Sellers' and purchasers' prices may differ due to government subsidies, sales and excise taxes, and distribution costs. Provided by ARTBA.  Members only.
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